- The Washington Times - Sunday, January 31, 2016

WEST DES MOINES, Iowa | Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton hold narrow leads in the latest poll ahead of Monday’s lead-off caucuses in the presidential races.

Mr. Trump edged ahead of his chief rival in the GOP race, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz, 28 percent to 23 percent, in the Des Moines Register/Bloomberg Politics poll released Saturday. In the past, this poll has been a fairly accurate predictor of caucus results.

Mr. Trump has topped most Iowa polls for the past month, but Mr. Cruz had a 3-point lead in the Des Moines Register/Boomberg Politics poll released Jan. 13.

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio retained his third-place position in the new poll, inching ahead to 15 percent as establishment favorites in the races faded, according to the poll.

On the Democratic side, Mrs. Clinton is sustaining a lead over her biggest threat, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders, 45 percent to 42 percent. That’s within the poll’s 4 percentage point margin of error.

The survey points to a cliffhanger in both races Monday, when turnout will be a deciding factor for the leading candidates.

In the Republican race, retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson dropped to 10 percent, his lowest level of support since May. Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul remained at 5 percent, and New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie stuck at 3 percent.

Former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, businesswoman Carly Fiorina, former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and former Pennsylvania Sen. Rick Santorum each got 2 percent, according to the poll.

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