- The Washington Times - Wednesday, July 13, 2016

The presidential polling picture grew more complicated Wednesday with surveys showing drastically different results in Pennsylvania, underscoring the unpredictability of the campaign.

A Marist-NBC-Wall Street Journal survey gives likely Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton a 9-point lead over Republican candidate Donald Trump. Just hours earlier, a Quinnipiac Poll showed Mr. Trump up 2 points in the same state.

Meanwhile, the Marist poll said the two candidates were tied in Ohio — the same result the Quinnipiac survey found.

Marist also found the race close in Iowa, with Mrs. Clinton holding a 3-point edge.

Analysts have said this year is proving particularly difficult to predict because pollsters are struggling to gauge what the voter pool will look like. Mr. Trump has shaken the traditional political coalitions, making it more difficult for pollsters to “weight” their surveys based on what they expect the Election Day demographics to look like.


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