- The Washington Times - Wednesday, September 14, 2016

Donald Trump leads Hillary Clinton by 5 points in the critical battleground state of Ohio, according to a Bloomberg Politics poll released Wednesday.

Mr. Trump led Mrs. Clinton by a 5-point, 48 percent to 43 percent, margin among likely voters in a head-to-head match-up in the poll, with the margin holding at 5 points with third-party candidates included.

The GOP presidential nominee led his Democratic rival, Mrs. Clinton, by 43 points among white men without a college degree, by 27 points among white men overall and by 23 points among white women without a college degree.

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The survey also showed that 57 percent of voters say trade deals like the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) do more to lose companies and jobs, compared to 20 percent who say they do more to increase exports and jobs and 23 percent who said they weren’t sure.

Mr. Trump has relentlessly hammered both Mrs. Clinton and her husband, former President Bill Clinton, for NAFTA, saying the deal is historically bad.

The poll’s party breakdown — 33 percent Republican, 29 percent Democratic, and 34 percent independent — is in line with the 2004 electorate, when former President George W. Bush narrowly carried the state.

“Our party breakdown differs from other polls, but resembles what happened in Ohio in 2004,” said pollster J. Ann Selzer, whose firm oversaw the survey.

“It is very difficult to say today who will and who will not show up to vote on Election Day,” Ms. Selzer said. “Our poll suggests more Republicans than Democrats would do that in an Ohio election held today, as they did in 2004 when George W. Bush carried the state by a narrow margin. In 2012, more Democrats showed up.”

In 2012, exit polling showed Democrats with a 7-point edge over Republicans in the electorate, while in 2004, Republicans had a 5-point edge.

The poll comes amid other surveys showing signs that Mr. Trump is gaining on Mrs. Clinton. It was taken from Friday to Monday, as Mrs. Clinton was facing backlash for saying half of Mr. Trump’s supporters belong in a “basket of deplorables,” and as she faced renewed questions about her health after she stumbled following a 9/11 Memorial event on Sunday.

She later said she regretted using the word “half” when describing Mr. Trump’s supporters at a Friday fundraiser. And after video of her near-collapse Sunday surfaced, her team disclosed that Mrs. Clinton had been diagnosed with pneumonia on Friday.

The bout has kept Mrs. Clinton off the public campaign trail, but she is scheduled to campaign on Thursday in North Carolina.

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