House Democrats have a better chance of expanding their majority in November’s elections, according to a new analysis from the Cook Political Report.
The report found 20 House races in 13 states have shifted to the Democrats’ favor.
“President Trump’s abysmal polling since the pandemic began is seriously jeopardizing down-ballot GOP fortunes,” wrote David Wasserman, the House Editor for the Cook Political Report.
“We may be approaching the point at which dozens of House Republicans will need to decide whether to cut the president loose and run on a ’check and balance’ message, offering voters insurance against congressional Democrats moving too far left under a potential Biden administration,” he continued.
The House has 233 Democrats, 197 Republicans, one independent and four vacancies.
Republicans need about 18 seats to retake the House, but the analysis warns their fight will be more complicated than that.
“For the first time this cycle, Democrats have at least as good a chance at gaining House seats as Republicans on a net basis,” Mr. Wasserman wrote.
Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said the race for the House will go “back and forth” as the presidential polls get tighter, but he touted the victories the GOP has had in special elections this year, most recently in Wisconsin and California.
“Republicans now have more seats than they had when they started this conference,” the California Republican told reporters Friday. “Yeah, it’s going to be competitive, but we had the opportunity to open the door and we’ll see that in November.”
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