"It looks like enrollment will fall short of last year," said Caroline Pearson, senior vice president at Avalere, a health policy consultancy, in an email. "If we assume a comparable number of auto-assignments, then we are at roughly 6.3M now. It is extremely unlikely that 2.9M more will sign up in the final week."
"It's almost certain enrollment will end lower, and potentially much lower," said Caroline Pearson of the health care consulting firm Avalere Health, which tracks the ACA's insurance markets. "The problem is ... the healthiest people are the ones who don't sign up when enrollment drops."