- The Washington Times - Monday, February 23, 2009

ANALYSIS/OPINION:

COMMENTARY:

“It is hard to understand this deal,” said Richard Holbrooke, President Obama’s special envoy. And, if the special envoy of the so-called smartest and most impressive administration in living memory can’t understand it, what chance do the rest of us have?

Nevertheless, let’s try. In the Swat Valley, where a young Winston Churchill once served with the Malakand Field Force battling Muslim insurgents, his successors have concluded the game isn’t worth the candle. In return for a temporary cease-fire, the Pakistani government agreed to let the local franchise of the Taliban impose its industrial strength version of Shariah across the whole of Malakand Region. If “region” sounds a bit of an imprecise term, Malakand has more than 5 million people, all of whom now live under a murderous theocracy. Still, peace rallies have broken out all over the Swat Valley, and, at a Swat peace rally, it helps to stand well back: As one headline put it, “Journalist killed while covering peace rally.”

But don’t worry about Pakistani nukes falling into the hands of “extremists”: The Swat Valley is a good 100 miles from the capital of the “nation” - Islamabad - or about as far as Northern Vermont is from southern Vermont.

And, of course, Islamabad is safely under the control of the famously moderate Ali Zardari. A few days before the Swat deal, Mr. Zardari marked the dawn of the Obama era by releasing from house arrest A.Q. Khan, the celebrated scientist and one-stop shop for all your Islamic nuclear needs, for whose generosity North Korea and Iran are especially grateful.

From Islamabad, let us zip a world away to London. Actually, it’s nearer than you think. The flight routes between Pakistan and the United Kingdom are some of the busiest in the world. Can you get a direct flight from your local airport to, say, Bradford? Where?

Bradford, Yorkshire. There are four flights a week from Islamabad to Bradford, a town where 75 percent of Pakistani Britons are married to their first cousins. But don’t worry, in the country as a whole, only 57 percent of Pakistani Britons are married to first cousins.

Among that growing population of Yorkshire Pakistanis is a fellow called Lord Ahmed, a Muslim member of Parliament. He was in the news the other day for threatening (as the columnist Melanie Phillips put it) “to bring a force of 10,000 Muslims to lay siege to the House of Lords” if it went ahead with an event at which the Dutch parliamentarian Geert Wilders would have introduced a screening of his controversial film “Fitna.” Britain’s Home Secretary, Jacqui Smith, reacted to this by declaring Minheer Wilders persona non grata and having him arrested at Heathrow and returned to the Netherlands.

The home secretary is best known for an inspired change of terminology: Last year she announced that henceforth Muslim terrorism (an unhelpful phrase) would be reclassified as “anti-Islamic activity.” Seriously. The logic being that Muslims blowing stuff up tends not to do much for Islam’s reputation - i.e., it’s an “anti-Islamic activity” in the same sense Pearl Harbor was an anti-Japanese activity.

Anyway, Geert Wilders’ short film is basically a compilation of video footage from various recent Muslim terrorist atrocities - whoops, sorry, “anti-Islamic activities” - accompanied by the relevant chapter and verse from the Koran. Jacqui Smith banned the filmmaker on “public order” grounds - in other words, the government’s fear that Lord Ahmed meant what he said about a 10,000-strong mob besieging the Palace of Westminster.

You might conceivably get the impression from Mr. Wilders’ movie that many Muslims are irrational and violent types that it is best to steer well clear of. But, if you didn’t, Jacqui Smith pretty much confirmed it: We can’t have chaps walking around saying Muslims are violent because they’ll go bananas and smash the place up.

So confronted by blackmail the British government caved. So did the Pakistani government in Swat. But, in fairness to Islamabad, they waited until the shooting was well under way before throwing in the towel.

In London, you no longer have to go that far. Just give the impression your more excitable chums might not be able to restrain themselves. “Nice little G-7 advanced Western democracy you got here. Shame if anything were to happen to it.” Twenty years ago this month, Margaret Thatcher’s Conservative ministry defended the right of a left-wing author Salman Rushdie to publish a book in the face of Muslim riots and the Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini’s attempted mob hit. Two decades later, a supposedly progressive government surrenders to the mob before it has even taken to the streets.

In his first TV interview as president, Barack Obama told viewers of Al-Arabiya TV that he wanted to restore the “same respect and partnership that America had with the Muslim world as recently as 20 or 30 years ago.” I’m not sure quite what golden age he’s looking back to there - the Beirut barracks slaughter? the embassy hostages? But the point is that it’s very hard to turn back the clock. Because the facts on the ground change, and change remorselessly. Even in 30 years. Between 1970 and 2000, the developed world declined from just under 30 percent of the global population to just more than 20 percent, while the Muslim world increased from 15 percent to 20 percent. And in 2030, it won’t even be possible to retake that survey, because by that point half the “developed world” will itself be Muslim. In Bradford as in London, Amsterdam, Brussels and almost every other Western European city from Malmo to Marseilles the principal population growth comes from Islam.

Thirty years ago, in the Obama golden age, a British documentary film-maker was so horrified by the “honor killing” of a teenage member of the House of Saud at the behest of her father, the king’s brother, that he made a famous TV film about it, “Death Of A Princess.” The furious Saudis threatened a trade boycott with Britain over this unwanted exposure.

Today, we have honor killings not just in Saudi Arabia, and Pakistan, but in Germany, Scandinavia, Britain, Toronto, Dallas and Buffalo. And they barely raise an eyebrow.

Along with the demographic growth has come radicalization: It’s not just that there are more Muslims, but that, within that growing population, moderate Islam is on the decline - in Singapore, in the Balkans, in northern England - and radicalized, Arabized, Wahhabized Islam is on the rise. So we have degrees of accommodation: surrender in Islamabad, appeasement in London, acceptance in Toronto and Buffalo.

According to ABC News, a team of University of California-Los Angeles professors have used bio-geographic theories to locate Osama bin Laden’s hideout as one of three possible houses in the small town of Parachinar, and have suggested to the Pentagon that it keep an eye on these buildings.

But the problem isn’t confined to three buildings. It ripples ever outward, to the new hard-core Shariah state in Malakand, up the road to nuclear Islamabad, over to Bradford on that jet-speed conveyor-belt of child brides, down to the House of Lords and beyond.

Meanwhile, President Barack Obama has removed Winston Churchill’s bust from the Oval Office and returned it to the British. Given what Sir Winston had to say about Islam in his book on the Sudanese campaign, the bust will almost certainly be arrested at Heathrow and deported as a threat to public order.

Mark Steyn is the author of the New York Times best-seller “America Alone” and is an internationally syndicated columnist.

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