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PIPES: Can Islamists transit from dictatorship to democracy?
There are some signs that things are evolving
Question of the Day
Until now, Islamist rule has implied violence and dictatorship. Can it evolve into something decent?
Put differently: If the brutality of Ruhollah Khomeini and Osama bin Laden marked them as yesterday’s men, and the autocracy of Recep Tayyip Erdogan and Mohammed Morsi make them today’s men, can tomorrow’s Islamists — Muslims seeking a consistent and global application of Islamic law under the rule of a caliph — become democratic and humane?
Islamism has significantly evolved over the past 13 years. As recently as 2001, its adherents were synonymous with criminals, terrorists and revolutionaries. In this spirit, I wrote three days after Sept. 11, 2001 that many Islamists “are peaceable in appearance, but they all must be considered potential killers.”
These words ring archaic now, at a time when Islamists find the ballot box a more effective means to power than the gun. Terrorism and coercion remain widely in use, to be sure, implemented by barbaric groups like the Islamic State of Iraq and greater Syria and Boko Haram. Yet some reforms of Islam are already underway.
The cutting edge issue now concerns form of government: Can Islamists transit not just from terrorism to politics, but also progress from dictatorship to democracy? Can they eliminate their own seemingly inherent supremacism, bellicosity, immorality, misogyny and anti-Semitism? Examples suggesting changes include the following:
In Turkey, a few key Islamists — notably Fethullah Gulen, leader of the country’s most influential Islamist organization, and President Abdullah Gul — seem to be evolving away from aggressive dictatorship. For example, Mr. Gulen criticized the Turkish government’s role in the 2010 Mavi Marmara incident against Israel. Mr. Gul’s willingness to treat the Gezi Park protests sympathetically contrasted with Prime Minister Erdogan’s ferocious response.
Mr. Gul’s wife Hayrunnisa (who covers her head) visited London in 2010 and when asked about her thoughts on elementary schoolgirls wearing hijabs, replied, “A girl cannot decide on her own to wear the headscarf at such a young age. She should decide for herself when she is old enough.” With Mr. Gul in charge, could Turkey’s AK Party actually become the socially conservative movement of teetotalers, modestly dressed women, Ottoman sentimentalists, and capitalists it now only pretends to be? Or would he become as aggressive as Mr. Erdogan?
In Iran, Hassan Rouhani’s promise of a less rigorous Islamism touched a chord in an electorate longing for normality. Symptomatic of this, hijabs in Iran have evolved away from the stark and frumpy coveralls of yesteryear. Led by designer Farnaz Abdoli and her Poosh line of clothing, Iranian women now enjoy fashion choices inconceivable a generation ago.
In Jordan, the Zamzam Initiative has broken away from the Muslim Brotherhood, arguing against its “monopoly on Islamic discourse” and calling for Islam to be “a cultural framework that encompasses the nation while emphasizing religious, sectarian, political and racial pluralism.”
In Egypt, many younger activists repudiate Mr. Morsi’s power grab. Spokesman Hamza Zoba’a accused the Muslim Brotherhood of having “committed errors” and of falling “into the trap of ruling alone.” Ali Khafagy, a leader in Giza, held that “The time will come to hold our leaders accountable and demand change. And there must be changes. We need people who are more open, more willing to work with everyone.” One observer, Tarek Osman, sees the brotherhood succeeding by tamping its dictatorial urges and evolving “almost beyond recognition.”
In Tunisia, as the ruling Ennahda party faces crises, Vice President Abdelfattah Mourou has shown an uncharacteristic openness to compromise with non-Islamists while the party itself works with its leftist rival, Nidaa Tounes.
I have argued for decades that Islamism, like fascism and communism, is by nature dictatorial, for all three share a radical utopian mentality, a glorification of the state, and a drive for global hegemony. I disdainfully compared a moderate Islamist to moderate Nazi, noting that while Mr. Erdogan and the followers of Osama bin Laden deploy different tactics, they both aspire to apply the same medieval law code.
Communism suggests two possible paths of evolution. In the Prague Spring of 1968, Alexander Dubcek sought to build “socialism with a human face,” meaning a communist order with multiparty politics, abundant consumer goods, and freedoms of speech and movement. The Communist Party of China has overseen a radically un-Marxist capitalist boom.
The deeply anti-modern and authoritarian nature of Islamism leaves me highly dubious that something civilized and worthy can emerge from this ideology; most likely, recent positive developments are merely tactical and temporary. Still, I can no longer reject with certainty the possibility of Islamism evolving and somewhat improving.
Daniel Pipes (DanielPipes.org) is president of the Middle East Forum.
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