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Signs point to healing in eurozone
Question of the Day
FRANKFURT, Germany — The worst of Europe’s financial crisis appears to be over.
European leaders have taken steps to ease the panic that has plagued the region for three turbulent years. Financial markets are no longer in a state of emergency over Europe’s high government debts and weak banks. And this gives politicians from the 17 countries that use the euro breathing room to fix their remaining problems.
“We are probably well beyond the worst,” said Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg Bank in London. He said occasional flare-ups in financial markets are likely but “coming waves of turmoil will be less severe.”
Evidence that Europe has turned a corner can be found in countries’ falling borrowing costs, rising stock markets and a slow but steady stabilization of the region’s banking system:
The interest rates investors are demanding to lend to struggling countries such as Spain and Italy have plunged — a sign investors are less fearful about defaults. Spain’s two-year bonds carry an interest rate, or yield, of just less than 3 percent — down from a July 24 peak of 6.6 percent. Italy’s bond yields have dropped just as sharply.
The Stoxx 50 index of leading European shares has surged 26 percent since June 1, while the euro has risen from $1.26 to $1.29 over the same period.
After months of withdrawals, deposits are trickling back into Greek and Spanish banks, signaling that fears of their imminent financial collapse are abating. And U.S. money-market mutual funds lent 16 percent more to eurozone banks in September. That was the third straight monthly increase in short-term funding to European banks and followed a 70 percent reduction since May 2011.
More proof the crisis is easing: Gatherings of European financial ministers no longer cause global stock and bond markets to gyrate with every sign of progress or setback.
As financial-market panic recedes, euro leaders have more time to try to fix the flaws in their currency union. Among the challenges are reducing regulations and other costs for businesses in order to stimulate economic growth and imposing more centralized authority over budgets to prevent countries from ever again spending beyond their means. That’s important because a major cause of the crisis was Greece’s overspending during the calm years after the euro’s introduction in 1999, and Italy’s failure to cut the high levels of debt it had when it joined. Other governments — such as Spain and Ireland — were saddled with debt piled up by banks and real estate developers during boom years.
Much of the credit for easing Europe’s financial crisis goes to the European Central Bank, which has become more aggressive over the past year under the leadership of Mario Draghi.
The ECB said Sept. 6 that it was willing to buy unlimited amounts of government bonds issued by countries struggling to pay their debts. The ECB’s pledge instantly lowered borrowing costs for Spain and Italy, which earlier in the year had faced the same kinds of financial pressures that forced Ireland, Greece and Spain to seek bailouts.
“Financial market confidence has visibly improved,” Mr. Draghi said Thursday during a news conference.
The ECB’s actions are reminiscent of some of the emergency steps the Federal Reserve took after the U.S. financial crisis struck in 2007. The Fed offered banks cheap loans, cut short-term interest rates to record lows and started buying bonds to ease long-term borrowing rates and boost the confidence of consumers and businesses.
The Fed couldn’t prevent the United States from enduring its worst recession since the Great Depression. But its actions defused panic in the financial markets and helped restore the health of U.S. banks.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel also has helped ease financial tensions across Europe by speaking more forcefully about the need to hold the euro together.
Mrs. Merkel’s support is critical because Germany, the eurozone’s largest economy, has the most at stake financially in any bailouts. Mrs. Merkel has backed the ECB’s bond-buying plan and has made conciliatory statements toward Greece.
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