On Tuesday, The Pew Hispanic Center released a report that does not bode well for Democrats come November 2:
In a year when support for Democratic candidates has eroded, the party’s standing among one key voting group-Latinos-appears as strong as ever. Two-thirds (65%) of Latino registered voters say they plan to support the Democratic candidate in their local congressional district, while just 22% support the Republican candidate, according to a nationwide survey of Latinos. If this pro-Democratic margin holds up on Election Day next month, it would be about as wide as in 2008, when Latinos supported Barack Obama for president over John McCain by 67% to 31%.
However, Hispanic registered voters appear to be less motivated than other voters to go to the polls. Just one-third (32%) of all Latino registered voters say they have given this year’s election “quite a lot” of thought. In contrast, half (50%) of all registered voters say the same. And when it comes to their intent to vote, half (51%) of Latino registered voters say they are absolutely certain they will vote in this year’s midterm election, while seven-in-ten (70%) of all registered voters say the same.
The survey also reveals that 44 percent of Latino Republicans have given the upcoming mid-term elections “quite a lot of thought compared with 28% of Latino Democrats.” The report points out that this particular finding is consistent with the survey’s data of registered voters at large.
Once again, as I wrote in a previous post about Democratic support from Latinos, the immigration issue was not necessarily a sure bet for Democrats to lob attacks against border security advocates, given the various backgrounds and circumstances of Spanish speakers in the United States. In fact, according to Pew, registered Latino voters ranked the immigration issue as being fifth in importance below education, jobs, and health care as the top three.
The survey does say 2/3 of registered Latino voters talked about the immigration issue with someone else and are more motivated to vote in November, but no specific information is given as to what exactly about the immigration debate would motivate them to the polls.
It would be more interesting to see a demographic breakdown of these registered voters in terms of age, country or territory of origin, and political party. The constant glomming of Latinos together simply makes for a less clear picture on why people stand where they do on border security and immigration.