Five predictions for Saturday’s meeting between Navy and Florida Atlantic as the Midshipmen try to secure bowl eligibility on their first try of the season.
1. Keenan Reynolds will account for three touchdowns. This is starting to become a pretty regular thing. The Navy quarterback has factored into 10 touchdowns (six passing, four rushing) in his first three starts. Maybe he’ll experience a regression at some point, but Florida Atlantic doesn’t seem like the most logical opponent for that to happen against.
2. Navy will punt at least once. Sophomore Pablo Beltran will never have an easier game last week, when his punting skills were not required. Instead, he trotted onto the field to hold extra points. Chances are, the Mids will get stopped at least one time even though Florida Atlantic is unaccustomed to dealing with the triple option.
3. Navy will top 35 minutes of possession time. The Mids have done it three times already this season, and this has the feel of a game in which Navy strings together a handful of long touchdown drives.
4. Keegan Wetzel will add at least another 1.5 tackles for loss. Because that’s just what the senior does. He would extend his streak of 1.5+ TFL games to four if he can meet this prediction.
5. Navy will win. Florida Atlantic snapped a six-game losing streak last week, but it doesn’t change the reality the Owls are still a long way from becoming a consistently stout team. Navy has just one turnover in its last four games, and so long as the Mids don’t become overly generous, they should win their fifth straight and lock up a bid to the Kraft Fight Hunger Bowl.
—- Patrick Stevens