A new Republican poll shows the GOP candidate vying for the seat vacated by disgraced New York City Rep. Anthony D. Weiner with a 4 percentage-point lead.
Results of a survey released Tuesday by Magellan Strategies BR, a GOP polling firm, shows Bob Turner with 44.6 percent of the vote, compared with Democrat David Weprin’s 40.4 percent.
A large number of potential voters — 11.8 percent — said they are undecided about next Tuesday’s special election.
The survey shows that 35.8 percent of the respondents in the district, which includes part of Brooklyn and Queens, say they definitely will vote for Mr. Turner, while 28.3 percent say Mr. Weprin definitely has their support.
The survey, conducted Thursday, has a margin of error of 2.16 percent.
The poll differs wildly from a survey conducted last week by Democratic polling firm Global Strategy Group that showed Mr. Weprin with an 8 percentage-point lead.
Another partisan survey released last week by the GOP pollster McLaughlin & Associates had the candidates deadlocked with 42 percent of the vote.
Little independent polling has been done on the race, with the most noteworthy being a Siena College survey in early August that showed Mr. Weprin ahead by 6 percentage points.
New York’s 9th Congressional District, which has three times as many Democratic voters as Republicans, hasn’t elected a Republican since the 1920s.
Mr. Turner, 70, a longtime business executive, lost to Mr. Weiner by 20 percentage points in last year’s race for the seat. But the incumbent resigned in June after admitting he had sexually charged online relationships with several women, setting up Tuesday’s special election to fill the remainder of his term, which expires in early January 2013.
Mr. Weprin, 55, is a New York state assemblyman and a former New York City Council member.