Rep. Ed Markey, Massachusetts Democrat, holds a 10-point lead over Republican and former Navy SEAL Gabriel Gomez a day before Massachusetts voters head to the polls to select one of the two men to fill the Senate seat of Secretary of State John Kerry.
Mr. Markey has a 52 percent to 42 percent lead over Mr. Gomez, according to a poll from Suffolk University.
“These numbers suggest that Tuesday night Ed Markey will make the transformation from congressman to senator-elect,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center in Boston.
Republicans have been hopeful that Mr. Gomez can pull off a repeat of Republican Scott Brown’s shocking upset win over Democrat Martha Coakley in a special election in Jan. 2010 to fill the seat of the late Ted Kennedy. But national Democrats have been determined not to let that happen, and Mr. Markey’s campaign has not been a repeat of the gaffe-strewn effort from Mrs. Coakley.
Gov. Deval Patrick appointed Democrat Mo Cowan, a former top aide, in January to temporarily fill the seat after Mr. Kerry resigned to serve as President Obama’s top diplomat.
The latest polling average from Real Clear Politics, from June 6-22, shows Mr. Markey with a 12.3-point lead over Mr. Gomez, 52 percent to 39.7 percent.
The Suffolk survey of 500 likely voters was conducted from June 19-22 and has a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.