Presidential election polling not broken, Trump trails Biden
Despite what you hear from some, the polling in the 2020 elections is very likely not broken, biased or wrong. Published June 24, 2020
Michael McKenna
Articles by Michael McKenna
U.S. treating China like Russia after the Cold War was a big mistake
For the last 30 years, America's policy with respect to China has been wrong. This is not the fault of any particular person or group of people. Rather, it is the shared and terrible failure of Republicans and Democrats, hawks and doves, businesses and think tanks. Published June 22, 2020
In electoral politics, data can be the difference between winning and losing
Data can seem boring. But it is the essential foundation of a campaign, like the guidance system of a plane. If you have no idea where you're going, or how to get there, you will probably wind up hopelessly lost. Published June 17, 2020
Flight from Democratic stronghold cities accelerates
In the wake of this year, American cities are going to experience a reprise of the flight of the middle and upper-middle classes similar to the postwar flight that was accelerated by the destruction and fear of 1968. Published June 15, 2020
Signs good in Montana for GOP keeping control of Senate
The re-election effort of Sen. Steve Daines could determine whether the Republicans will retain control of the Senate after 2020. That should probably make you feel better if you are a Republican. Published June 10, 2020
Outdoors Act puts taxpayers on the hook for federal land-buying spree
The Senate this week will take up the Great American Outdoors Act, which would require the federal government to spend at least $900 million each year to increase the already sizable amount of land it owns and controls in the United States. Published June 6, 2020
Polling shows Trump's window for reelection is closing
Right now, opinion research suggests that the window for victory for President Trump is starting to close. Published June 3, 2020
Nancy Pelosi's proxy voting designed to dilute power of rank-and-file lawmakers
Congress is a gathering of people together to solve issues. That cannot and will not be accomplished in the absence of the people of Congress. Published May 31, 2020
The Senate's fate rests in Trump's performance at the ballot box
The bottom line is that if the president wins, especially if he runs as expected in places such as North Carolina, Iowa and Maine, the Republicans probably will hold the Senate. Published May 27, 2020
Trump didn't win in 2016 by mobilizing white working-class voters
As we careen into the 2020 campaign season, and prepare to endure an endless deluge of chit chat about the presidential election, it might be useful to think about how President Trump won in 2016. Published May 20, 2020
