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"Deaths can lag positive cases by a couple of weeks, but they should not lag by a month or more," he said in an email. "So the decline in deaths is evidence that either the rise in positive tests is occurring mainly among younger people at low risk, doctors are getting better at treating COVID, doctors in [New York] and the early states made unfortunate and possibly preventable mistakes, or the virus itself is becoming less dangerous."

Coronavirus death rate drops even as cases spike →