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Threat Status for Friday, August 21, 2026. Share this daily newsletter with your friends, who can sign up here. Send tips to National Security Correspondent Ben Wolfgang.

Private investment funds can now apply for government loans under the Pentagon’s controversial new National Security Fund Finance program. 

… The U.S. military said eight people were killed when a charter aircraft crashed at a remote radar site in western Alaska.

… The Trump administration says it will impose the “toughest sanctions in history” against Iran as it eyes new strategies to break a stalemate in the Middle East conflict. There are signs the approach may be working.

… President Trump issued a memo late Thursday aimed at sparking a new “golden age of space transportation” in the U.S, including 1,000 annual space launches by 2030.

… The Army is shutting down a unit based in Europe that specialized in drone warfare. 

… Taiwan proposed a record-high defense budget of $35 billion for next year.

… Pentagon Correspondent Mike Glenn has more on the Department of Defense order to 30 colleges to sever what the Trump administration described as “problematic” ties to China, Russia and Iran.

… Soldiers who reenlist with the Army’s 9th Engineer Battalion in Georgia by Nov. 14 will be allowed four days off to play the new video game “Grand Theft Auto VI.”

… And a woman who allegedly pledged allegiance to the Islamic State terror group was accused of planning to attack the New York State Capitol in Albany, authorities say. 

White House strategy document points to submarines as a key priority

This photo released by the U.S. Navy shows a guided-missile submarine capable of carrying up to 154 Tomahawk missiles. The Navy said a nuclear-powered submarine, based out of Kings Bay, Georgia, passed through the Suez Canal on Friday, April 7, 2023. (US Navy via AP) **FILE**

The Trump administration’s National Security Science and Technology Strategy lists undersea capabilities first among its three key priorities for battlefield dominance and power projection — even before space and artificial intelligence. While those priorities aren’t necessarily listed in order of importance, the fact that submarines and undersea assets are mentioned at the top is a clear acknowledgment of how crucial those capabilities are in the 21st century.

National Security Correspondent Bill Gertz has more on exactly why America’s submarine fleet is the best in the world and how high a priority it is for the Pentagon to keep it that way. 

Navy submarines, both nuclear missile and conventional attack boats, remain a vital mainstay of U.S. military power and strategic nuclear deterrence. For example, military leaders project that U.S. submarine power is a key deterrent for Chinese plans to launch an amphibious assault across the 100-mile-wide Taiwan Strait.

Private capital funds can now apply for Pentagon loans

The Pentagon is viewed from the window of an airplane Aug. 27, 2023, in Washington. (AP Photo/Carolyn Kaster, File)

The Pentagon has opened the application process for its National Security Fund Finance program. The controversial plan involves giving government loans to private investment funds, which will then add their own private capital to the mix and invest in companies that promise to deliver the critical materials needed for missiles, aircraft and other advanced military technology.

It’s part of the Trump administration’s aggressive push to transform America’s defense and critical minerals industries. But some analysts warn that private capital firms have fundamentally different interests than the U.S. military.

Private capital funds can apply for the loans online. The application section, posted on the U.S. General Services Administration website, includes a lengthy document explaining the program, a brief legal questionnaire for companies, and an “investment track record” form. The application period runs through Nov. 1. The Pentagon’s Office of Strategic Capital is running the program.

Threat Status has asked the Pentagon many detailed questions about the NSFF initiative but has received no answers. And don’t forget: A growing number of prominent Republicans have serious questions about other aspects of the Trump administration’s defense industrial investment strategy.

Podcast exclusive: Why U.S. military bases want nuclear microreactors

A crane removes the protective geodesic radar dome April 27, 2016, on Buckley Air Force Base, Colo. (U.S. Air Force photo by Airman 1st Class Luke W. Nowakowski/Released)

American military installations need reliable power, even if an adversary attack takes down local electric grids. And that’s where nuclear microreactors could come in.

In a wide-ranging exclusive interview on the latest episode of the Threat Status podcast, Space Force Col. Eamon R. Murray explains why his installation, Colorado’s Buckley Space Force Base, is in line to receive one of the first nuclear microreactors as part of a groundbreaking federal program

The microreactor will provide power to the sprawling installation independently of local power grids. 

“This is a good news story. This is not a risky endeavor. This is a good thing for Buckley. This is a good thing for national defense. This is a good thing for the local community,” Col. Murray said.

In Middle East powder keg, Israel-Turkey tensions near the boiling point

Decommissioned Syrian air force planes are seen at the Abu Duhur military air base east of Idlib, following the takeover of the area by Syrian opposition fighters on Saturday, Dec. 7, 2024. (AP Photo/Omar Albam, File)

Threat Status Correspondents Jacob Wirtschafter and Ahmad Al Kwaider have a detailed explanation of the rapidly rising tensions between Israel and Turkey, which could superheat a Middle East that’s already close to boiling.

Here’s a quick recap of the most recent key developments: Israel this week bombed a Syrian air base in Abu al-Duhur in eastern Idlib province that Jerusalem said was being retrofitted to host Turkish forces. Turkey explicitly denied that assertion. Thirty-six hours later, about 100 Israeli soldiers moved into a Syrian village in Quneitra province, a move that drew condemnation from Ankara, Riyadh, Cairo, Doha and even Washington.

Turkey has emerged as a fierce critic of Israel’s conduct in the war against Hamas in the Gaza Strip, and its military campaign — alongside the U.S. — against Iran. Ankara also takes exception to Israel’s military moves in Syria. Just this week, Turkish Foreign Minister Hakan Fidan said Israeli attacks on Syria’s sovereignty and territorial integrity are among the greatest threats to the rebuilding country’s stability.

The growing friction between those two major players is one of the biggest wild cards for the future of the region.

Opinion: CIA needs to determine Iran's next moves

Roles of the Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) illustration by Linas Garsys / The Washington Times

In the years to come, America’s intelligence agencies will surely face tough questions about their assessments leading up to the U.S. war against Iran. How confident was the agency that military strikes were the best option to induce Iran to negotiate in good faith? What was the likelihood of a popular uprising and regime change in Tehran?

Moving forward, it’s up to the CIA to provide clear insights into Iran’s likely moves, writes regular Threat Status contributor Daniel N. Hoffman

Mr. Hoffman, a retired CIA Clandestine Services officer, says that at this crucial moment in the conflict, political and military leaders in the Trump administration will lean heavily on the agency.

“The CIA is on the hook to assess with the highest level of confidence Iran’s future plans and intentions,” Mr. Hoffman writes. “Will Iran embark on a nuclear breakout while seeking to reconstitute its ballistic missile inventory? Will the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps assist Hezbollah in developing a fleet of surveillance and attack drones designed to take advantage of Israel’s lack of strategic depth?”

Threat Status Events Radar

Aug. 25-26 — Counter UAS Summit, Institute for Defense and Government Advancement

• Aug. 27 — 2026 Navy Summit, Potomac Officers Club

• Aug. 27 — AI and Autonomy on the Modern Battlefield, Atlantic Council

• Sept. 3 — The AI Open-Weight Debate: Balancing Innovation and Security, Center for a New American Security

• Sept. 9 — Bend but Do Not Break: Shaping the Future of the All-Volunteer Force, Center for Strategic & International Studies

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If you’ve got questions, Guy Taylor and Ben Wolfgang are here to answer them.